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Medicare Data
Hub

Medicare Enrollment

Enrollment in Medicare is projected to increase an average of 1.5 million beneficiaries per year from 2021 to 2029.

Source: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Program Statistics, 1965–2018, and Congressional Budget Office, Medicare Baseline, March 2020.

Medicare Financing, Spending, and Affordability

Medicare spending is projected to nearly double between 2019 and 2029.

Source: National Health Expenditure Accounts, by type of service and source of funds, 1960–2018 and Congressional Budget Office, Medicare Baseline, March 2020.

Focusing on Quality Healthcare

Capitated payments to Medicare Advantage and Part D plans comprise more than two-fifths of federal spending for Medicare

Total Medicare Benefits, 2020: $814 Billion

Source: Congressional Budget Office, Medicare Baseline, March 2020.
Note: Benefits are net of recoveries.

Supplementary Medical Insurance Cost-Sharing and Premium Amount

All Medicare beneficiaries are required to pay the Part B premium, in addition to any premium for their Medicare Advantage or Part D plan.

Source: 2020 Medicare Trustees Report, Supplementary Medical Insurance Cost‑Sharing and Premium Amount, 1967–2029.
Note: Not adjusted for inflation.

Medicare spending per beneficiary is projected to grow significantly

Federal Medicare spending per beneficiary is projected to increase nearly 60 percent from 2019 to 2029.

At the county level, enrollment rates vary from under 1 percent to about 67 percent.

Enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans varies widely, with rates lowest in the midwestern and western counties.

Source: CMS MA State/County Penetration File, 2020. 

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation.

Remarkable range of Medicare Advantage plan enrollment across the United States.

The percentage of Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in a Medicare Advantage plan varies from 45 percent in Hawaii to 1 percent in Alaska.

Percentage enrolled in Medicare Advantage nationally: 35.3
National Medicare Advantage enrollment: 24.7 million

HMO Enrollment

Enrollment in HMOs has doubled over the past decade.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
HMO 7.3 7.8 8.5 9.4 10.1 11.1 11.8 12.4 13.1 14.0 15.2
PPO 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 5.0 5.7 6.9 8.0
Private Fee-for-Service 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regional PPO 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2
Total 11.0 11.7 12.8 14.1 15.4 16.7 17.5 18.9 20.3 22.3 24.4

Source: CMS Monthly Contract and Summary Enrollment Reports, March 2009–2020.

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation; totals include beneficiaries enrolled in employer/union-only group plans.  Total does not include all Medicare Advantage plan types; actual enrollment is higher than shown in this table. 

In 2020, approximately 37 percent of Medicare beneficiaries were enrolled in a MA plan.

Enrollment in private Medicare Advantage plans more than doubled between 2010 and 2020.

Source: CMS Medicare Advantage State/County Penetration File, March 2020.

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation. Data include counts for local Coordinated Care Plans (CCP); Regional CCP; Medical Savings Accounts (MSA); Private Fee-for-Service (PFFS); Demonstrations; National PACE; 1976 Cost; HCPP–1933 Cost; Employer Direct PFFS.

At the county level, enrollment rates vary from under 1 percent to about 67 percent.

Enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans varies widely, with rates lowest in the midwestern and western counties.

Source: CMS MA State/County Penetration File, 2020. 

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation.

Remarkable range of Medicare Advantage plan enrollment across the United States.

The percentage of Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in a Medicare Advantage plan varies from 45 percent in Hawaii to 1 percent in Alaska.

Percentage enrolled in Medicare Advantage nationally: 35.3
National Medicare Advantage enrollment: 24.7 million

HMO Enrollment

Enrollment in HMOs has doubled over the past decade.

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
HMO 7.3 7.8 8.5 9.4 10.1 11.1 11.8 12.4 13.1 14.0 15.2
PPO 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 5.0 5.7 6.9 8.0
Private Fee-for-Service 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Regional PPO 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2
Total 11.0 11.7 12.8 14.1 15.4 16.7 17.5 18.9 20.3 22.3 24.4

Source: CMS Monthly Contract and Summary Enrollment Reports, March 2009–2020.

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation; totals include beneficiaries enrolled in employer/union-only group plans.  Total does not include all Medicare Advantage plan types; actual enrollment is higher than shown in this table. 

Most Medicare Advantage (MA) plans provide prescription drug coverage.

Average Medicare Advantage premiums fell by approximately 40 percent between 2010 and 2020.

Weighted by plan enrollment

Source: CMS Plan and Premium Information for Medicare Plans Offering Part D Coverage, 2010–2020.

Notes: Data represent average plan premiums weighted by plan enrollment and are not adjusted by inflation. Data do not include Special Needs Plans, employer-sponsored plans, Part B–only plans, or plans not offering a Part D drug benefit. The Part C premium covers Medicare medical and hospital care; the Part D premium is a total (basic and supplemental) premium.

All types of Medicare Advantage plans with Healthcare.

Among Medicare Advantage plan types, average 2021 premiums are lowest for HMOs and Special Needs Plans.

Source: CMS Plan and Premium Information for Medicare Plans Offering Part D Coverage, 2021. 

Notes: PACE, Part B–only plans, employer-sponsored plans, and plans under sanction are excluded. Special Needs Plans are excluded from the “All Medicare Advantage Plans” average.

Maximum Out-of-Pocket (MOOP)

HMOs’ average in-network maximum out-of-pocket (MOOP) amount is about one-third less than the Medicare limit for 2021.

Source: CMS Medicare Advantage Landscape File, 2021.

Notes: PACE, Special Needs Plans, Part B–only plans, employer-sponsored plans, and plans under sanction are excluded.

In 2021, more Special Needs Plans than other Medicare Advantage plans offer popular supplemental benefits, such as eye exams, hearing exams, over-the-counter drugs, and transportation.

Source: CMS Plan Benefit Package, 2021 (Updated as of October 1, 2020).

Fewer than one in ten Medicare Advantage plans offer support for caregivers, in-home safety assessments, or other services that help people live independently in their homes.

Source: CMS Plan Benefit Package, 2021 (Updated as of October 1, 2020).

The number of Medicare Advantage plans available to Medicare beneficiaries has increased over the past decade, with 33 plans available, on average, in 2021.

Source: CMS MA Landscape Source Files, 2010–2021.

Note: Data represent the average number of plans operating in counties across the U.S. and Puerto Rico, weighted by the number of Medicare beneficiaries in each year. (Data for 2021 are weighted by September 2020 beneficiaries.)  PACE, Special Needs Plans, Part B–only plans, employer-sponsored plans, plans under sanction, and records denoted as pending state or county designation are excluded.

Nearly all Medicare beneficiaries have access to at least one Medicare Advantage plan for 2021, typically an HMO or local PPO.

Sources: CMS MA Landscape Source File, 2010–2021.

Notes: Data for the following organization types are included: local Coordinated Care Plans (CCP); Regional CCP; Medical Savings Accounts (MSA); Private Fee-for-Service (PFFS); Demonstrations; National PACE; 1976 Cost; HCPP – 1933 Cost; Employer Direct PFFS.

The number of Special Needs Plans (SNPs) has increased steadily in the past six years, totaling 1,019 in 2021.

Source: CMS SNP Landscape Source File, 2010–2021. 

Note: Employer-sponsored plans, demonstrations, and plans under sanction are excluded from SNP counts.

Enrollment in Special Needs Plans (SNPs) has more than doubled in the past decade.

Most growth occurred in Dual Eligible SNPs

Source: CMS SNP Comprehensive Report, 2020 (March version).

Note: Dual eligibles describes individuals who receive both Medicare and Medicaid benefits. Medicare acts as the primary payer for most services, while Medicaid may help pay for premiums, cost-sharing, and benefits not covered by Medicare. Beneficiaries must be dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid to enroll in a dual SNP (D-SNP).

Ninety-six percent of Medicare beneficiaries have access to Special Needs Plans (SNPs) in 2021.

Source: CMS State/County Penetration, and SNP Landscape Source File, 2010–2021. 

Note: Estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation. 

Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans

Few Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans focus on mental health conditions, HIV/AIDS, dementia, or end-stage renal disease.

Total SNPs in 2021: 1,019

Source: CMS SNP Landscape Source File, 2021. 

Note: Employer-sponsored plans, demonstrations, and plans under sanction are excluded from SNP counts.

Medicare Advantage Special Needs Plans

Average monthly premiums for Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans (SNPs) are one-fourth that of Dual Eligible SNPs in 2021.

Source: CMS SNP Landscape Source Files, 2021. 

Notes: Employer-sponsored plans and plans under sanction are excluded.

Medicare Part D Enrollment

Enrollment in Medicare stand-alone prescription drug plans has changed relatively little since 2015.

Source: CMS PDP State/County Penetration File, March 2020.

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation. This file contains data for the following organization types (where there are active contracts): PDP; employer/union-only direct-contract PDP.

Medicare Part D Enrollment

Enrollment in Medicare stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) is highest in rural states with low Medicare Advantage enrollment rates.

National % enrolled in PDP Plan: 37%
National PDP enrollment: Approx. 25.2 million

Medicare Part D Enrollment

Across counties, enrollment in stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) ranges from less than 1 percent to 78 percent of Medicare beneficiaries.

Source: CMS PDP State/County Penetration File, March 2020. 

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation. 

Medicare Part D Availability

Many stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) are available to Medicare beneficiaries, with the average number of plans on the rise since 2017.

Source: CMS State/County Penetration, and PDP Landscape Source Files, 2010–2021.

Note: Data represent the average number of plans operating in counties across the U.S., weighted by the number of Medicare beneficiaries in each year. (Data for 2021 are weighted by September 2020 beneficiaries.) Employer-sponsored plans and plans under sanction are excluded. Estimates do not include records denoted as pending state or county designation.

Medicare Part D Benefits

Average premiums for stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDP) in 2021 are nearly 2.5 times those for Medicare Advantage prescription drug plans (MA-PDs).

Source: CMS Plan and Premium Information for Plans Offering Part D Coverage, 2021.

Notes: Amounts represent total Part D premiums, which are the sum of the Basic and Supplemental Premiums. Total premium may be lower than the sum of the basic and supplemental premiums because of negative basic or supplemental premiums. MA-PD average excludes employer-sponsored plans, Part B–only plans, demonstration, cost plans, and plans not offering Part D benefits.

Medicare Part D Benefits

During the past decade, premiums for Part D stand-alone prescription drug plans declined modestly.

Weighted by plan enrollment

Source: CMS Plan and Premium Information for Plans Offering Part D Coverage, 2011–2020.

Notes: Data represent average plan premiums weighted by plan enrollment and are not adjusted for inflation. Amounts represent total Part D premiums, which are the sum of the basic and supplemental premiums. Total premium may be lower than the sum of the basic and supplemental premiums because of negative basic or supplemental premiums. Employer-sponsored plans and plans under sanction are excluded.

Medicare Part D Low Income Subsidy

The number of Medicare Advantage enrollees receiving a low income subsidy (LIS) tripled in the past decade.

MA-PD = Medicare Advantage prescription drug plan; PDP = Stand-alone prescription drug plan.

Source: CMS Low Income Subsidy Enrollment by Plan, 2010-2020.

Note: Enrollment estimates do not include plan records suppressed because of a value of 10 or less. Only includes Medicare Advantage plans with Part D coverage.

International Comparisons

In the U.S. Medicare program, private plans offer primary, supplemental, and prescription drug–only coverage, similar to models of private plans in other countries.

Private health insurance plans serve diverse roles in nations’ health care systems. In Germany, Netherlands, and Switzerland, private plans are the primary source of insurance and cover essential health benefits. In Australia, Netherlands, and France, people can purchase private plans that provide coverage supplemental to the primary insurance source for such things as adult dental or vision care, physical therapy, private hospital rooms, or greater choice of private providers. In Canada, people can purchase private plans that provide only outpatient prescription drug coverage.

In the United States, private health insurance plans play a pivotal role. Private plans provide primary coverage through Medicare Advantage plans, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces, employer-sponsored plans, and some Medicaid managed care organizations. Examples of supplemental or wrap-around coverage provided by private plans include Medigap (for Medicare beneficiaries), critical illness insurance, and indemnity insurance plans. Medicare Part D stand-alone prescription drug plans (PDPs) are an example of private plans that offer only prescription drug coverage.

For more information, see https://www.commonwealthfund.org/international-health-policy-center/system-profiles.

Source: The Commonwealth Fund/London School of Economics 2020 International Profiles of Health Care Systems, June 2020.

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